Berkshire Reports Dim Financial Results, Amidst Tumultuous 2023

Long-time business partner, Charlie Munger, saw Berkshire Hathaway deliver a rather disappointing set of financial results for the 2022 financial year as inflation and persistent rate hikes suppressed performance amidst a tumultuous macro-environment.

The American multinational conglomerate holding company saw its fourth-quarter net earnings figure decline 54% from the prior year’s quarter, mainly attributable to the 65% year-over-year decline in quarterly investment and derivative gains. Investment and derivative gains plunged 186% to a loss of $53,612 million in 2022 from a profit of $62,340 million in 2021. The tumultuous 2022 financial year resulted in a drastic 126% year-over-year decline in Class B net earnings per share.

In Berkshire Hathaway’s annual letter, Warren Buffett emphasised his defence over stock repurchase programs, calling stock buyback critics “economic illiterate[s].” Stock repurchases amounted to approximately $2.6 billion during the fourth quarter of 2022, resulting in an annual stock repurchase spend of $7.9 billion, down from the record spend of $27 billion in buybacks in 2021. Buffett’s defence over stock buybacks is cemented on the belief that they “provide a lift to per-share intrinsic value,” further elaborating that “when the share count goes down, [investors’] interest in our many businesses goes up.” The famous value investor also stated that “Berkshire will always hold a boatload of cash and U.S. Treasury bills,” increasing its cash hoard to nearly $130 billion in 2022.

Technicals

The price action on Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) has been consolidating sideways for the last four months, with the primary resistance and support levels firmly at $321.00 (green line) and $297.00 (red line), respectively. Looking at the 1D chart of Berkshire Hathaway (Class B shares), the price action has declined somewhat, approaching the $299.00 support level, closing at $305.18 on the last day of February.

For the bull case, a short-term trading opportunity could exist if the price action pushes above $314.00 (black dotted line), which could be the first resistance point for the bulls. If the price action breaches the resistance, the share price could potentially reach higher levels, around $321.00 a share (green line).

The bear case on BRK.B could see the price action move lower from the $314.00 share level (black dotted line) if market participants perceive the short-term headwinds as significant. If this does happen, then we could potentially see the price action move lower to support levels around $299.00 a share (red line).

Summary

With 2022 predominantly marked with record-high inflation levels and ongoing rate hikes, Berkshire delivered a dull set of financial results, especially evident in the company’s investment and derivatives line item. In the annual report, Buffett re-affirmed his support for stock buybacks, emphasising how valuable the corporate action can be for investors.

The possibility of a short-term trade exists for the bulls if the price action breaches the $314.00 resistance level. Still, the bears will also be aware of a possible retraction from the $314.00 resistance level back lower to find support around the $299.00 share level. 

Sources: Berkshire Hathaway Inc., CNBC, Trading View

Disclaimer: Trive South Africa (Pty) Ltd, Registration number 2005/011130/07, and an Authorised Financial Services Provider in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 2002 (FSP No. 27231). Any analysis/data/opinion contained herein are for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice or a recommendation to invest in any security. The content herein was created using proprietary strategies based on parameters that may include price, time, economic events, liquidity, risk, and macro and cyclical analysis. Securities involve a degree of risk and are volatile instruments. Market and economic conditions are subject to sudden change, which may have a material impact on the outcome of financial instruments and may not be suitable for all investors. When trading or investing in securities or alternative products, the value of the product can increase or decrease meaning your investment can increase or decrease in value. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Trive South Africa (Pty) Ltd, and its employees assume no liability for any loss or damage (direct, indirect, consequential, or inconsequential) that may be suffered from using or relying on the information contained herein. Please consider the risks involved before you trade or invest.