Weekly Earnings Outlook

Update: 26 February

Pick n Pay Announces R4 Billion Capital Raise to Bolster Financial Health

Pick n Pay unveiled a two-pronged capital raise plan targeting up to R4 billion to strengthen its financial position and fuel long-term growth. This initiative comes amidst challenges in the core supermarket business, marked by weak sales and rising debt.

The strategy comprises two key steps. Firstly, a rights offer to existing shareholders in mid-2024 aims to provide near-term liquidity and bolster the balance sheet. Secondly, the company plans to list its successful discount chain, Boxer, on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (IPO) towards the end of 2024, while retaining a majority stake.

Pick n Pay seeks to utilize the raised capital to reduce debt and free up resources for crucial investments in its core supermarket business. This move underscores the company’s commitment to addressing its financial constraints and revitalizing its core operations. Notably, the discount chain, Boxer, has emerged as a bright spot, exhibiting consistent sales growth, highlighting its potential as a future growth driver.

While the announcement triggered an initial dip in the share price, Pick n Pay has secured the backing of lenders and the Ackerman family for the capital raise, signifying confidence in the company’s turnaround strategy. Further details regarding the broader turnaround plan are expected to be unveiled in May 2024. This R4 billion capital raise marks the initial step in a multi-year journey towards enhanced financial health and improved performance for Pick n Pay.

Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA)

Nvidia delivered a stellar fourth quarter, exceeding analyst expectations with significant revenue and profitability growth. Total revenue jumped to $22.1 billion, a staggering 265% increase year-over-year. This surge was primarily driven by the booming demand for AI chips, particularly in the Data Center segment. This segment, fueled by the powerful “Hopper” architecture, witnessed remarkable 409% growth, reaching $8.8 billion in revenue. Notably, over half of data center sales, or $4.5 billion, came from large cloud providers. However, recent US export restrictions impacted data center revenue in China, posing a challenge.

Despite these headwinds, Nvidia’s CEO remains confident in the long-term potential of the AI market, citing “excellent conditions” for sustained growth beyond 2025. This optimism stems from the burgeoning fields of generative AI and the increasing adoption of AI accelerators, both of which are expected to keep demand for Nvidia’s GPUs high.

However, supply constraints continue to pose a challenge. While the situation is gradually improving, Nvidia anticipates ongoing shortages, especially for the upcoming B100 chip. Launching new products also presents temporary supply hurdles due to the time required to meet the high demand.

While the once-dominant Gaming segment saw a modest 56% year-over-year growth, reaching $2.9 billion, other segments like Automotive and Professional Visualization displayed mixed performance. Overall, Nvidia’s strong financial performance, with net income soaring 769% to $6.7 billion, coupled with its optimistic outlook on the AI market, positions the company for continued success in the years to come.

Kumba Iron Ore Ltd. (JSE: KIO)

Kumba Iron Ore reported a positive financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2023, despite facing operational hurdles. Revenue grew by 16% to R86.2 billion, driven by a 15% increase in the realized iron ore price above the benchmark. This translated to a significant increase in both earnings and cash flow, with earnings per share rising by 52% and attributable free cash flow surging by 43%. Shareholders benefited from a generous final dividend, up 48% year-on-year.

However, the company faced logistical challenges that impacted production. Iron ore output declined by 5% to 35.7 million tonnes, although sales still managed to climb by 2%. Kumba successfully mitigated the cost pressures associated with these challenges, achieving a C1 unit cost of US$41/tonne through cost-saving measures and a favorable exchange rate.

Kumba remains committed to sustainability, demonstrating progress by improving its safety record and investing in social development projects. The company created R71.1 billion in shared value for stakeholders and invested R376 million in social initiatives.

Looking ahead, Kumba is adjusting its production profile to a lower range of 35-37 million tonnes for the next three years due to ongoing logistical constraints. This reconfiguration is expected to impact some employees and service providers, but the company remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of the iron ore market, particularly in the green steel segment.

Sources: MoneyWeb; CNBC; Daily Investor

Piece written by Trive Sales Trader, Kealeboga Molefe

Disclaimer: Trive South Africa (Pty) Ltd (hereinafter referred to as “Trive SA”), with registration number 2005/011130/07, is an authorised Financial Services Provider in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act, 37 of 2002. Trive SA is authorised and regulated by the South African Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) and holds FSP number 27231. Trive Financial Services Ltd (hereinafter referred to as “Trive MU”) holds an Investment Dealer (Full-Service Dealer, excluding Underwriting) Licence with licence number GB21026295 pursuant to section 29 of the Securities Act 2005, Rule 4 of the Securities Rules 2007, and the Financial Services Rules 2008. Trive MU is authorized and regulated by the Mauritius Financial Services Commission (FSC) and holds Global Business Licence number GB21026295 under Section 72(6) of the Financial Services Act. Trive SA and Trive MU are collectively known and referred to as “Trive Africa”.

Market and economic conditions are subject to sudden change which may have a material impact on the outcome of financial instruments and may not be suitable for all investors. Trive Africa and its employees assume no liability for any loss or damage (direct, indirect, consequential, or inconsequential) that may be suffered. Please consider the risks involved before you trade or invest. All trades on the Trive Africa platform are subject to the legal terms and conditions to which you agree to be bound. Brand Logos are owned by the respective companies and not by Trive Africa. The use of a company’s brand logo does not represent an endorsement of Trive Africa by the company, nor an endorsement of the company by Trive Africa, nor does it necessarily imply any contractual relationship. Images are for illustrative purposes only and past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance. No services are offered to stateless persons, persons under the age of 18 years, persons and/or residents of sanctioned countries or any other jurisdiction where the distribution of leveraged instruments is prohibited, and citizens of any state or country where it may be against the law of that country to trade with a South African and/or Mauritius based company and/or where the services are not made available by Trive Africa to hold an account with us. In any case, above all, it is your responsibility to avoid contravening any legislation in the country from where you are at the time.

CFDs and other margin products are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how these products work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional clients can lose more than they deposit. See our full Risk Disclosure and Terms of Business for further details. Some or all of the services and products are not offered to citizens or residents of certain jurisdictions where international sanctions or local regulatory requirements restrict or prohibit them.