Rand Treads Water, JSE Charts Stability

The JSE Top 40 Index Futures (JSE: J200) encountered a week of fluctuating trends amid mixed market sentiments. The South African Rand, which has been minimally impacted, traded with marginal variation against the dollar amidst thin trading due to the approaching holiday period. Both the Top-40 (SA40) and broader all-share (JSE:J203) indices exhibited a slight positive movement, whereas the 2030 government bond saw a minor weakening in yield. 

Global market factors seemed to steer the Rand’s movement, particularly the dollar’s downward trend. The focus remains on the upcoming US inflation figures, shaping market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory. Domestically, statements by Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa ensured optimism by affirming no expected load-shedding during the festive season, backed by improved Eskom unit performance and reduced demand. 

Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart): 

Trading at R67,966.88, the JSE Top 40 Index Futures portray a compelling picture. Despite recent breaks below the 20-SMA (green line), 50-SMA (blue line), and 100-SMA (orange line), the flat RSI at 44.96 hints at potential price stability.  

Short-term opportunities beckon as bulls eye the R69,222.89 resistance level, with an affirmative breakthrough possibly unlocking the R70,278.82 resistance. Conversely, bears may find opportunities towards the initial support at R66,518.22, with a potential dip to R65,314.09. 


The JSE Top 40 Index Futures faces mixed signals. While the Rand stabilises, technical indicators suggest a bearish tilt in the short term. A sustained push beyond key SMAs may shift momentum towards resistance at R70,278.82, while failure might lead to short-term bearish moves towards support at R65,314.09. 

Sources: TradingView, Trading Economics, Reuters, Dow Jones Newswire. 

Piece written by Mfanafuthi Mhlongo, Trive Financial Market Analyst 

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